{"id":127057,"date":"2026-05-15T02:38:42","date_gmt":"2026-05-15T01:38:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/pointblanknews.com\/pbn\/?p=127057"},"modified":"2026-05-15T02:38:42","modified_gmt":"2026-05-15T01:38:42","slug":"rising-commodity-prices-may-push-nigerias-inflation-rate-to-16-42-report","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/pointblanknews.com\/pbn\/news\/rising-commodity-prices-may-push-nigerias-inflation-rate-to-16-42-report\/","title":{"rendered":"Rising Commodity Prices May Push Nigeria\u2019s Inflation Rate to 16.42% -Report\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"<div style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u200eBy Godswill Michael<\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u200e<\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u200eRising global commodity prices and persistent domestic cost pressures may push Nigeria\u2019s headline inflation rate to 16.42 per cent in 2026, according to the latest inflation forecast by the Financial Markets Dealers Association (FMDA).<\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u200e<\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u200eIn its April 2026 inflation outlook report, the association projected that inflation on a month-on-month basis would rise by 2.78 per cent, although lower than the 4.18 per cent recorded in March, driven largely by rising food and energy prices.<\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u200eThe headline inflation stood at 15.38 per cent in March 2026.<\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u200e<\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u200eThe report stated that \u201cheadline inflation is projected to rise further to around 16.42 percent, reflecting the combined effect of elevated food prices, higher transportation and production costs, as well as lingering pass-through from the March fuel price shock.\u201d<\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u200e<\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u200eAccording to the FMDA, global commodity prices remained elevated in April due to higher energy costs and renewed geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.<\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u200eIt noted that Brent crude oil prices rose sharply to $120.4 per barrel in April from $103.7 per barrel in March, while the World Bank Energy Index increased to 146.4 points from 130.6 points.<\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u200e<\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u200eThe report added that global food prices also sustained their upward trajectory during the month, with the Food and Agriculture Organisation Food Price Index increasing by 1.6 per cent to 130.7 points in April, marking the third consecutive monthly increase.<\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u200e<\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u200eAccording to the report, the increase was driven by \u201chigher cereal, vegetable oil and meat prices amid elevated energy costs and supply disruptions linked to the Strait of Hormuz crisis.\u201d<\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u200e<\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u200eThe association further stated that the World Bank Food Index rose to 118.5 points in April from 116.7 points in March, while wheat prices increased to $282 per metric tonne from $276 per metric tonne and maize prices climbed to $214 per metric tonne from $212.7 per metric tonne, signalling sustained imported food inflation pressures.<\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u200e<\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u200eOn the domestic front, the report said food prices remained elevated in April, citing data from the World Bank food market survey.<\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u200e<\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u200e\u201cThe food price index increased to 3.69 from 3.60 in March, reflecting continued increases across major staples,\u201d the report stated.<\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u200e<\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u200eIt added that yam prices rose by 3.98 per cent during the month, while watermelon, maize, millet and sorghum also posted moderate increases, indicating sustained food inflationary pressures.<\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u200e<\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u200eData contained in the report showed that the price of beans increased to 1,808.62 in April from 1,794.46 in March, while gari rose to 927.91 from 925.2 and maize increased to 1,144.6 from 1,134.41. Millet prices rose to 1,044.14 from 1,036.48, while sorghum climbed to 603.56 from 599.23.<\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u200e<\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u200eWatermelon prices also increased to 862.13 from 848.27, while yam prices rose to 3,164.99 from 3,131.7 during the period. Rice was the only commodity among those tracked to record a decline, easing marginally to 2,203.11 from 2,205.98.<\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u200e<\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u200eThe FMDA also highlighted the impact of rising fuel prices on inflationary pressures.<\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u200e<\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u200eAccording to the report, average Premium Motor Spirit prices increased to N1,322.50 in April from N1,208.38 in March, representing a 9.44 per cent increase.<\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u200e<\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u200eHowever, it noted that the increase was lower than the 37.35 per cent spike recorded in March, suggesting that \u201cwhile energy-related inflationary pressures persisted, the pace of fuel price acceleration softened.\u201d<\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u200e<\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u200eThe report nevertheless noted that exchange rate movements provided some relief during the month.<\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u200eIt stated that the naira appreciated by 1.36 per cent on average to N1,361.22\/$ in April from N1,379.98\/$ in March, which \u201cmay help moderate imported inflation pressures and cushion part of the pass-through from higher global commodity prices.\u201d<\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u200e<\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u200eThe association stated that although domestic food prices and energy costs remained elevated, moderation in fuel price increases and exchange rate appreciation could partly contain inflationary pressures in the near term.<\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u200e<\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u200eThe report also showed that inflationary pressures strengthened across major economies in April. Inflation in the United States rose to 3.8 per cent from 3.3 per cent, while the Euro Area recorded 3.0 per cent from 2.6 per cent, largely due to higher energy and production costs.<\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u200e<\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u200eAcross Africa, Kenya\u2019s inflation accelerated to 5.6 per cent from 4.4 per cent, while Ghana\u2019s inflation edged higher to 3.4 per cent from 3.2 per cent. The FMDA added that 72 per cent of tracked countries recorded higher inflation in April, compared to 67 per cent in March, underscoring broad-based global inflationary pressures.<\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u200e<\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u200e<\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>\u200eWhy this matters<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u200e<\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\">Rising inflation could further erode household purchasing power, increase business operating costs and complicate monetary policy efforts by the Central Bank of Nigeria, particularly as food and transportation account for a large share of consumer spending in the country.<\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u200e<\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u200eThe report nevertheless noted that exchange rate movements provided some relief during the month. It stated that the naira appreciated by 1.36 per cent on average to N1,361.22\/$ in April from N1,379.98\/$ in March, which \u201cmay help moderate imported inflation pressures and cushion part of the pass-through from higher global commodity prices.\u201d<\/div>\n<!-- AddThis Advanced Settings generic via filter on the_content --><!-- AddThis Share Buttons generic via filter on the_content --><!-- AddThis Related Posts generic via filter on the_content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u200eBy Godswill Michael \u200e \u200eRising global commodity prices and persistent domestic cost pressures may push Nigeria\u2019s headline inflation rate to 16.42 per cent in 2026, according to the latest inflation&hellip;<!-- AddThis Advanced Settings generic via filter on wp_trim_excerpt --><!-- AddThis Share Buttons generic via filter on wp_trim_excerpt --><!-- AddThis Related Posts generic via filter on wp_trim_excerpt --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":127061,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-127057","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.8 - 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