The People\u2019s Democratic Party (PDP) crisis which emanated from Adamawa
\nstate has cost Bamanga Tukur his seat as the national chairman of the
\nparty; forced Governor Murtala Nyako to defect to the opposition All
\nProgressive Congress (APC); altered the political equation of the state
\nand catapulted Boni Haruna\u2019s political status to another level. These
\nsudden political happenings at this crucial time of the politics of 2015
\nwill bring unprecedented political re-alignments to the dynamics of
\nAdamawa politics and the hitherto calculations of who gets what in the
\nPDP, including its governorship ticket.<\/p>\n
These political happenings will birth four political realignments. First,
\nformer Governor Boni Haruna will become the most senior politician from
\nthe state who has the ears of Abuja. Bamanga Tukur\u2019s influence at the
\nnational level of PDP politics will dwindle, though he will still be seen
\nas the man who led the rescue of the party from Nyako\u2019s one-man siege.
\nAtiku Abubakar, being a member of the APC now has to, and will definitely
\nre-strategize. And new forces would emerge in Adamawa PDP.<\/p>\n
The first impact of these four shifts will be on Governor Nyako\u2019s
\npolitical moves. Since a state governor cannot be underrated in the
\npolitics of his state, Nyako would ensure his firm and absolute control on
\nthe APC. After all, his opponents have always equated to him to someone
\nwho relishes the politics of acquiring everything for himself to the
\ndetriment of all inclusive politics.<\/p>\n
The exit of Bamanga as PDP national chairman would shake-off people who
\nrelied solely on Bamanga\u2019s position to have a say in the party. Thus,
\nTukur\u2019s exit would pave the way for some people to attempt to win control
\nand relevance in the party. Those eyeing the PDP governorship and other
\nelective position tickets would also have to re-strategize in accordance
\nwith new direction. All eyes would be on the rumoured Awwal Tukur\u2019s
\ngovernorship ambition. Furthermore, for not having the national chairman
\nfrom its house, Adamawa PDP executive may lose some \u2018national office\u2019
\nbenefits it formerly enjoyed.<\/p>\n
Atiku Abubakar would definitely re-strategize because the state executive
\nof his new party -APC has already been shared among its stakeholders – the
\ndeal was sealed before Atiku joined the APC. Furthermore, a good number of
\nAtiku\u2019s supporters are still scattered between the PDP and Peoples\u2019
\nDemocratic Movement (PDM). Additionally, the politics of his home-state
\nhas taken a new course. For instance, Boni Haruna who almost sacrificed
\nhis political life for loyalty to him, with them eventually parting ways;
\nhas emerged as a federal minister. And he now has the ears of the
\nPresident, thus automatically becomes the leader of the PDP in Adamawa
\nstate.
\nThe opposition-APC would also be affected by these realignments. Just like
\nin 2013, when Boni returned to the PDP prior to the 18th May 2013 Mayo
\nBelwa constituency bye election for the State House of Assembly. ACN came
\na distanced third with only 1,200 votes as against PDP\u2019s 12,040. And ACN
\nuntil then had enjoyed strong support in that area. The APC now has a
\nmountain to climb to avoid similar situation. The APC could leverage from
\nformer ACN\u2019s robust coordination and understanding of the politics of
\nAdamawa, but unluckily for them – most of former ACN stalwarts are Boni\u2019s
\nformer political appointees and associates and virtually all of them have
\nmoved to the PDP.<\/p>\n
One of the most important political events that would shape 2015 politics
\nin Adamawa is Boni\u2019s emergence as a federal minister; it will greatly
\nalter the political calculations and the leadership of the PDP in the
\nstate. Since leaving office seven years ago, former Governor Boni has been
\nable to attract a good number of diehard followers and also maintain
\nconstant political relevance within Adamawa politics. One major secret
\nthat has helped him in this regard is his style of all representative
\ngovernance, when he was governor. And when it comes to gearing towards
\n2015 political battle, Jonathan seems to have made a smart decision; Boni
\nwill be a great weapon for him in Adamawa State.<\/p>\n
Zayyad I. Muhammad writes from Jimeta, Adamawa State, zaymohd@yahoo.com.
\n08036070980<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
The People\u2019s Democratic Party (PDP) crisis which emanated from Adamawa state has cost Bamanga Tukur his seat as the national chairman of the party; forced Governor Murtala Nyako to defect…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":22299,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-22298","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-articles-opinions"],"yoast_head":"\n