{"id":57592,"date":"2017-05-08T06:30:25","date_gmt":"2017-05-08T05:30:25","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/pointblanknews.com\/pbn\/?p=57592"},"modified":"2017-05-08T06:30:25","modified_gmt":"2017-05-08T05:30:25","slug":"aregbesola-will-pick-successor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/pointblanknews.com\/pbn\/articles-opinions\/aregbesola-will-pick-successor\/","title":{"rendered":"How Aregbesola will Pick a Successor"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n
\n
By Adekola Balogun<\/p>\n

The race for governorship of Osun state is picking up .Within the ruling
\nAll Progressive Congress, the man holding the ace is Governor Rauf
\nAregbesola,\u00a0 whether anybody like it or not.<\/p>\n

Rauf is going to instal a successor, going by ongoing and existing
\npermutations. A realistic fact is that the Governor as at now is not sure
\nof who is going to succeed him. Yes,deep in his heart ,he is still
\nsearching . Like a friend said ,the oracle is yet to select “omo oye”.<\/p>\n

And this is why all ongoing projections are false.With the death of
\nSenator Isiaka Adeleke ,the above fact has even become more real than mere
\nspeculation. For one ,all pre – death scheming has been effectively
\nsilenced by the exit of Asiwaju of Ede. The sad event even further
\nreconfirmed that Ogbeni is yet to decide.Yet,this is #ogbenitilldaybreak.<\/p>\n

As an insider ,let me scribble here seven principles that\u00a0 will guide how
\nOgbeni will choose a successor. Please don’t shout on roof top over what
\nyou are going to read.It is a bitter fact which all stakeholders should
\nrather note and accept now.<\/p>\n

First,any very rich aspirant should forget any dream of making the
\nsuccession. No leader entrust a seat of such importance to a politician
\nwho can finance himself. What will be the place of the outgoing governor
\nand the many leaders? A rich man in office is a recipe for political
\narrogance which will destroy not just the predecessor but the
\nestablishment.<\/p>\n

Two,an aspirant with a political structure is a potential problem. If he
\nhas his own structure ,why would he needs the outgoing boss? What is going
\nto happen to the political structure of the incumbent ? An aspirant with
\nsolid political structure is a potential danger to the incumbent,now and
\nafter leaving office.<\/p>\n

Three,any aspirant very close to the incumbent is a future agent of
\nbetrayal . Because he knows all the secrets of the incumbent,he is in a
\nbetter position to blackmail his predecessor if he emerges the Governor.
\nSeveral examples abound.<\/p>\n

Four,any aspirant who understands the full working of the ruling
\nestablsihment is\u00a0 well equipped to thrash and destroy it after securing
\npower. He would actually destroy that establishment because he would have
\nthe eternal fear that his predecessor would continue to manipulate the
\nstructure to undermine him.<\/p>\n

Five,any aspirant of decades long association with the incumbent is likely
\nto carry both credit and liability of the outgoing ,meaning that
\nelectorally he cannot bring new cadres of voters to the electoral
\nmathematics. Because he is known as the associate\u00a0 of the outgoing ,the
\nvoters circle is restricted ,leaving many new voters outside the political
\ncalculus.<\/p>\n

Six ,long term association with the incumbent is no longer a condition for
\nretaining\u00a0 loyalty and protection from the succesor. If an Akeredolu can
\nprotect a Mimiko ,how would a succesor on the same party not be more than
\neager to protect the predecessor. In fact ,a pledge of loyalty to the
\noutgoing is now a weak bargaining power as loyalty can be secured from
\nboth new and old friends.<\/p>\n

Seven,the capital city factor has been nullified by the widely acknowldged
\ntransformation of Osogbo with several overhead bridges and infrastructural
\nadvantages. Hence that commendable achievement has relieved Ogbeni
\nAregbesola of that burden of satisfying the yearning of Osogbo for the
\ngovernorahip.<\/p>\n

I put the above together to let you pundits know that the game is still
\ntoo early. A lot of surprises are still in the oven.<\/p>\n

But the APC as a party in Osun owes a lot to the Chief of Staff ,Gboyega
\nOyetola for his loyalty and passionate support for the\u00a0 Governor in the
\nlast six years. Ditto for Dr Ajibola Bashiru , an\u00a0 erudite \u00a0politician who
\nis contributing greatly to the transformation of Osun state.<\/p>\n

* Balogun,a political activist ,sent this piece from Ikirun,Osun state.<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

By Adekola Balogun The race for governorship of Osun state is picking up .Within the ruling All Progressive Congress, the man holding the ace is Governor Rauf Aregbesola,\u00a0 whether anybody…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1132,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-57592","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-articles-opinions"],"yoast_head":"\nHow Aregbesola will Pick a Successor - Pointblank News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/pointblanknews.com\/pbn\/articles-opinions\/aregbesola-will-pick-successor\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"How Aregbesola will Pick a Successor - 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