Kevin, Charlyn & Kimberly Associates, a UK based research and political
risk consultancy firm has stated that incumbent President Goodluck
Jonathan of the Peoples Democratic Party will win the 2015 Presidential
Election with a margin of 13 per cent (probability).
The group which used both ‘monkey survey’ and ‘Political Risk Index’ to
forecast the Nigerian election projected a Jonathan’s win if everything
remains constant.
In a statement by Mr. O.C Vince, the Vice President of the firm for West
Africa while addressing a press conference today in Abuja, explained that
the firm has no partisan interest in the outcome of the election which is
left for the people of Nigeria to decide.
The company said it decided to conduct the survey because of the general
global interest the Nigeria election has generated. ‘Many people around
the world, including political leaders and investors are focusing on
Nigeria to see how the process of democracy is managed’.
Mr. Vince said the ruling Peoples Democratic Party appear to be facing its
toughest challenge in 16 years and hoped the efforts they have made will
help deepen and strengthen democracy in Nigeria and enable the different
contending parties manage their final push toward 2015.